Listen to Us on Stitcher Radio

Listen to Stitcher

Sunday, October 5, 2014

Fantasy Forecast: Best Value Plays for NFL Week 5

In our first edition of our Fantasy Forecast, the fellas at The Low Blow Sports Show have compiled their best values for Week 5 of the NFL for one-day/week fantasy football on If you haven't played yet, now is the time to jump in! Just type in promo code "lowblow" for one free entry and DraftKings will also double your deposit.

Rollin's Picks


Eli Manning ($7,500)
Ol’ Eli may only be averaging 19.9 FPPG this season, but don’t let that fool you
His 36.1 points last week may have been against the woeful Redskins, but he is actually facing a worse pass defense in the Falcons
Falcons rank 30th in the league, giving up 276 yards per game through the air
Only concern is they’ve only given up 3 passing TDs thus far, but they also just gave up 317 yards to a rookie quarterback in purple


Ahmad Bradshaw ($4,000)
I like Giovani Bernard against the Pats in the under 7 grand bracket, but the best value may be Ahmad Bradshaw
Richardson is still getting more carries, despite the fact Bradshaw has been way more effective, averaging 2.1 more yards per carry
BUT Bradshaw is Andrew Luck’s best friend out of the backfield, hauling in 14 receptions for 134 yards and 4 touchdowns
The Colts are facing a stingy run defense in the Ravens, but they allowed a couple other pass-catching backs, Bernard and Bell, 62 and 48 yards receiving, respectively
Bradshaw shouldn’t be your RB1, but he’s a solid RB2 or flex in a penny pinch


Kelvin Benjamin ($4,800)/Percy Harvin ($6,100)
This is where I’m torn
For the value, it doesn’t get much better than Kelvin Benjamin under $5k.
And he’s facing a Chicago team that has given up the 6th-most points to fantasy receivers

But then there is Percy Harvin, who has been less than spectacular at 13.1 FPPG for just over $6k
Why do I like him this week? He’s slippery as hell, and facing a Redskins defense that can’t tackle worth a damn and is really missing D. Hall in the secondary
Short throws will be big gains in this matchup
On top of that, Harvin is one of the deadliest returners in the game with 6 career TDs, still waiting on his first this season, and facing a Washington team that has already given up a touchdown and is allowing a league-worst 35 yards per kick return


Heath Miller ($4,000)
Heath Miller was off to a slow start this season, but he hauled in 10 catches for 85 yards and a touchdown last week against Tampa Bay
This week, he’s facing a Jacksonville team that has given up touchdowns to 4 different opposing tight ends this season, along with 84 yards per game


Chargers ($3,100)/Eagles ($3,300)
Tied for 2nd in the NFL with a +5 turnover differential (2 INT, 4 FUM)
Jets tied for last place with a -5 turnover differential (5 INT, 2 FUM)
With Rivers clicking, the Chargers could run up the score, forcing the Jets into a passing situation that will open the door for Geno Smith to be a typical Jets quarterback

Philly isn’t quite as spectacular in turnover differential, as it has coughed the ball up 9 times already this season
But the Eagles turned 5 turnovers into 2 touchdowns so far this season
Rams are ranked 25th in the league, giving up 26.4 yards per kick return

Eagles average 32.9 yards on kick returns, 15.4 on punt returns, and have a touchdown in each category…that’s 4 DST touchdowns in 4 games!

No comments:

Post a Comment